Nvidia beats on Q4 expectations and offers better-than-anticipated Q1 outlook

Nvidia (NVDA) revealed its fiscal fourth-quarter performance post-market on Wednesday, surpassing analysts’ projections for both revenue and earnings. The company also issued Q1 revenue guidance of $76.44 billion to $79.56 billion, which exceeded Wall Street’s expectation of $72.8 billion.

This forecast does not factor in any potential revenue generated from China.

Nvidia’s stock saw its premarket gains reduced, climbing 1% after an initial 3% surge.

For the quarter, Nvidia achieved earnings per share of $1.62 on total revenue of $68.1 billion. Bloomberg’s analyst consensus estimates had anticipated EPS of $1.53 on $65.8 billion in revenue. In the equivalent quarter last year, the company reported EPS of $0.89 and revenue of $39.3 billion.

Nvidia’s data center division was the primary driver of this substantial growth, contributing $62.3 billion during the period, outperforming analyst predictions of $60.2 billion.

CFO Colette Kress attributed a significant portion of this success to hyperscalers.

“In the fourth quarter, hyperscaler revenue increased and continued to be our largest customer segment, accounting for slightly over 50% of Data Center revenue, while growth was also spearheaded by other Data Center customers as revenue sources diversified,” she stated in a press release.

Further reading: Live reports on corporate financial results

Nvidia categorizes its data center operations into compute, graphics chips/CPUs, and networking. For the quarter, the company noted a 58% year-over-year increase in compute revenue, with networking revenue skyrocketing 263% to $11 billion.

These results from Nvidia come just weeks before its scheduled GTC 2026 event in San Jose, Calif., where significant product unveilings are anticipated.

It also follows the introduction of Nvidia’s newest AI superchip, Vera Rubin, unveiled at the annual CES technology conference in Las Vegas this past January.

More recently, Nvidia expanded its collaboration with Meta, finalizing a substantial multiyear agreement to supply the social media giant with both its Blackwell and Rubin AI processors, alongside the inaugural major standalone deployment of its Grace CPU servers.

Despite this positive momentum, Nvidia stock had only gained slightly over 5% since the beginning of the year as of Wednesday afternoon. This performance, however, still outpaced Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), which was down approximately 1%, and Broadcom (AVGO), which fell 3%. Intel (INTC), by contrast, has seen a nearly 27% increase this year.

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang speaks during a Nvidia keynote address at CES 2026, an annual consumer electronics trade show, in Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S. January 5, 2026.  REUTERS/Steve Marcus

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang addresses attendees during a keynote speech at CES 2026, an annual consumer electronics exhibition, in Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S. on January 5, 2026. REUTERS/Steve Marcus · REUTERS / Reuters

Gene Munster, managing partner at Deepwater Asset Management, explained in a blog post that the disparity between Nvidia’s recent announcements and its stock performance stems from investor uncertainty about whether the AI trend is concluding or merely in its initial stages.

“The true discussion revolves around what growth will look like in 2027 and 2028,” Munster elaborated. “Ultimately, investors must decide which stage of the AI development we are currently in; if it’s the fifth inning, 2027 growth should appear more moderate, but if it is the second inning, which I believe, Nvidia’s growth prospects for the coming years remain robust.”

A significant portion of this year’s expansion will continue to be driven by hyperscalers such as Amazon (AMZN), Google (GOOG, GOOGL), Meta (META), and Microsoft (MSFT), who collectively intend to invest $650 billion in AI capital expenditures in 2026 alone.

Beyond its data center operations, Nvidia reported gaming revenue of $3.7 billion, falling short of the $4 billion estimates.

As reported by The Verge, Nvidia may introduce its own CPU for laptops within the next few months, which could significantly boost the company’s gaming revenue.

This chip would directly compete with offerings from Intel, AMD, and Qualcomm (QCOM), which is actively striving to gain market share in this sector.

While Nvidia’s revenue from PC chips won’t match that from its data centers, such a move would further solidify the company’s standing among dedicated gamers and individuals seeking a portable device capable of occasional gaming.

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Contact Daniel Howley at [email protected]. Connect with him on Twitter at @DanielHowley.

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