76ers vs. Heat Prediction, Odds, Picks – Feb. 26

Report by Data Skrive

The Philadelphia 76ers (32-26) are scheduled to compete against the Miami Heat (31-28) on February 26, 2026. This game will be broadcast on FDSSUN and NBCS-PH. The 76ers are currently considered a slight favorite in this contest against the Heat, with a 2.5-point spread. The total points for the game are set at 239.5.

Below you’ll find comprehensive details for the 76ers-Heat game, including the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under, expert selections, and viewing information.

76ers vs. Heat Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

  • When: Thursday, February 26, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
  • Where: Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
  • TV: FDSSUN and NBCS-PH
  • Live Boxscore: FOX Sports
76ers vs Heat Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
76ers -2.5 -114 -106 239.5 -112 -108 -152 +128

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76ers vs. Heat Prediction

ATS Pick: Heat (+ 2.5)
O/U Pick: Under (239.5)
Score Prediction: 76ers 118 – Heat 116

76ers vs. Heat Betting Insights

  • This season, the 76ers have exceeded the 239.5 point total, set for this contest, in 19 games.
  • Out of 59 games played this season, the Heat have seen more than 239.5 total points scored in 27 of them.
  • When combined, the 76ers and Heat’s average points per game fall 2.9 short of the 239.5 game total.
  • Opponents of the 76ers and Heat together average 6.5 points less than the 239.5 total for this match.
  • Philadelphia has been favored in 34 games this season, securing victory in 23 of them (67.6%).
  • Miami has been the underdog in 29 matchups this year, emerging victorious in 13 (44.8%) of those contests.
  • In their most recent head-to-head encounter, Miami holds a 1-0 record against Philadelphia.
  • Furthermore, the Heat have a 1-0 advantage against the spread when playing the 76ers.

76ers Recent Trends

  • Over their last 10 outings, the 76ers have posted a 5-5 record both against the spread and overall.
  • The average combined score in Philadelphia’s last 10 games is 230.9 points, which is 8.6 points below this game’s 239.5 total.
  • Through 58 games this season, the 76ers have covered the spread in 30 instances.
  • When favored by 2.5 points or more this season, Philadelphia’s ATS record stands at 14-8.
  • In 31 of 59 games with an established point total this year, 76ers games have hit the over (52.5%).
  • The 76ers score an average of 116.6 points per game, just 0.5 fewer than the 117.1 points allowed by the Heat.
  • When Philadelphia exceeds 117.1 points, their record is 17-5 ATS and 18-4 overall.
  • The 76ers boast a 46% field goal percentage this season, a mere 0.2% higher than the 45.8% shot by the Heat’s opposition.
  • Philadelphia has a more favorable record against the spread on the road (18-10-0) compared to their home performance (12-17-1).
  • Regarding point totals, Philadelphia’s home games have gone over 16 times in 30 opportunities (53.3%) this season, slightly less frequently than their away games where they’ve gone over 15 times in 28 opportunities (53.6%).
  • As moneyline favorites, the 76ers have performed less effectively at home, with a 12-7 record, versus their 11-4 record in away games.

76ers Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 116.6 11
Points Allowed 115.9 18
Rebounds 43.4 18
Assists 24.7 26
Steals 9.2 6
Blocks 5.7 5

76ers Leaders

  • Tyrese Maxey averages 29.1 points, 4.1 rebounds, and 6.7 assists per game, also contributing defensively with 2 steals (second in NBA) and 0.8 blocks.
  • VJ Edgecombe contributes 15.3 points, 5.5 rebounds, and 4 assists per game, shooting 42.8% from the field and 36.4% from three-point range, hitting 2.1 treys per contest.
  • Joel Embiid records 26.6 points, 7.4 rebounds, and 3.9 assists per game, with a 49.8% field goal percentage and 31.7% from three, making 1.3 treys per game.
  • Quentin Grimes averages 12.8 points, 3.6 assists, and 3.6 rebounds.
  • Kelly Oubre Jr. delivers 14.4 points, 4.7 rebounds, and 1.7 assists per game, shooting 46.4% from the field and 37% from deep, with 1.9 made three-pointers each contest.

76ers Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG
Tyrese Maxey 27.5 -118 29.1
Joel Embiid 27.5 -114 26.6
Kelly Oubre Jr. 14.5 -102 14.4
VJ Edgecombe 14.5 -106 15.3
Quentin Grimes 11.5 -106 12.8

Heat Recent Trends

  • In their last 10 games, the Heat have achieved a 6-4 record against the spread and a 5-5 overall record.
  • The average combined score in Miami’s last 10 outings is 4.9 points below the 239.5 total set for this contest.
  • This season, the Heat have covered the spread in 34 of their 59 games.
  • As underdogs of 2.5 points or more this season, Miami holds a 14-9-1 against the spread record in 24 games.
  • Miami games have exceeded the point total in 31 of 59 contests this year, a rate of 52.5%.
  • The Heat average 120 points per game, which is 4.1 points more than the 115.9 points the 76ers typically allow.
  • When scoring over 115.9 points, Miami has a 27-9 ATS record and a 24-10 overall record.
  • Miami’s field goal percentage stands at 46.3%, 0.7% lower than the 47% shot by the 76ers’ opponents this season.
  • The Heat’s home winning percentage against the spread is .536 (15-13-0), while their road winning percentage is .613 (19-11-1).
  • For over/under outcomes, Miami’s home games have surpassed the total 15 times in 28 contests (53.6%), and their road games have done so 16 times in 31 opportunities (51.6%).
  • As moneyline favorites, the Heat’s home winning percentage is .571 (12-9), and on the road, it’s .667 (6-3).

Heat Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 120 2
Points Allowed 117.1 20
Rebounds 47.3 2
Assists 28.8 5
Steals 9.1 7
Blocks 4.3 23

Heat Leaders

  • Bam Adebayo contributes 18.3 points, 9.8 rebounds, and 2.9 assists per game for the Heat, along with 1 steal and 0.7 blocked shots.
  • This year, Andrew Wiggins provides the Heat with 16.1 points, 5.1 rebounds, and 2.8 assists per game.
  • Norman Powell delivers 22.9 points, 3.6 rebounds, and 2.6 assists per game for the Heat, complemented by 1.2 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.
  • Jaime Jaquez Jr. averages 15 points, 5.4 rebounds, and 4.6 assists per game for the Heat, adding 0.8 steals and 0.3 blocks.
  • Kel’el Ware averages 11.4 points, 9.4 rebounds, and 0.5 assists per game, shooting 52.9% from the field and 40.3% from three-point range, making 1.2 triples per contest.

Heat Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG
Norman Powell 20.5 -118 22.9
Tyler Herro 19.5 -102 20.9
Bam Adebayo 17.5 -125 18.3
Andrew Wiggins 15.5 -108 16.1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. 12.5 -130 15

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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