The ATP Masters 1000 Miami 1/32-finals continue to present a blend of strong contenders and potential upsets. Halys appears to have the form to make his match competitive this week. Sinner is playing exceptionally well and is expected to win comfortably, while Tien’s recent displays indicate he should have the upper hand in his encounter.
ATP Masters 1000 Miami 1/32-Finals
Davidovich Fokina – Halys: 21.03.2026 16:00 CEST
H2H: 0-1
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has secured victory in three of his past five contests. His most recent match was a three-set loss to Tien in the Indian Wells 1/8-Finals. He has yet to advance beyond the third round at this event.
Quentin Halys has been defeated in three of his last five outings. In Miami this week, the French player overcame Draxl in a three-set battle, recovering after dropping the first set. Halys conceded just two games across the second and third sets.
Best Bet to Make
Bookmakers view Halys as the outsider for this encounter, a sentiment we don’t share. He performed strongly in his initial match and has previously beaten Davidovich Fokina on hard surfaces. Should his serve be consistent, we anticipate a closely contested match.
Consequently, betting on Halys to cover the games handicap offers good value.
Value bet/ the best odds: Quentin Halys +3.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365
Dzumhur – Sinner: 21.03.2026 18:30 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Damir Dzumhur has been defeated in four of his last five fixtures. In Cap Cana last week, Dzumhur was eliminated by Wong in a three-set opening round match. Here in Miami, the Bosnian staged a comeback against Buse after dropping the first set, even fending off a match point in the second.
Jannik Sinner is on a six-match winning streak. At Indian Wells last week, Sinner secured the title magnificently, not losing a single set.
Best Bet to Make
Bookmakers correctly identify Sinner as the overwhelming favourite for this match, and we concur. The Italian is among the top contenders for this week’s title and is currently in peak form. Conversely, Dzumhur lacks significant offensive capabilities.
Therefore, wagering on Sinner to cover the games handicap presents a valuable opportunity.
Value bet/ the best odds: Jannik Sinner -7.5 games handicap @2.20 @bet365
Majchrzak – Tien: 21.03.2026 16:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Kamil Majchrzak has suffered defeat in three of his previous five matches. In Miami this week, Majchrzak overcame Kecmanovic in a three-set opening round clash. Last year in Miami, Majchrzak did not manage to qualify for the main draw.
Learner Tien has emerged victorious in three of his last five contests. At Indian Wells last week, Tien was defeated by Sinner in straight sets during the quarterfinals. In Miami last season, the American bowed out in the opening round against Fonseca.
Best Bet to Make
Bookmakers have positioned Tien as the favourite for this match, and we concur with this assessment. He enjoyed a strong performance in Miami last week. In contrast, Majchrzak has not recorded any notable achievements this season. We anticipate Tien will control this match.
As such, backing Tien to cover the games handicap represents a sound value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Learner Tien -3.5 games handicap @1.73 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Mike Frey-Imagn Images