Content by Data Skrive
March 3, 2026Last Updated: March 4, 2026, 10:36 p.m. ET

Sloane Stephens is set to compete against the No. 61-ranked Maria Camila Osorio Serrano in the BNP Paribas Open Round of 128 on Wednesday, March 4.
Maria Camila Osorio Serrano is favored with odds of -375 to advance to the Round of 64, while Sloane Stephens is listed at +280.
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Match Details: Sloane Stephens vs. Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
- Event: BNP Paribas Open
- Stage: Round of 128
- Date of Match: Wednesday, March 4
- Playing Surface: Hard Court
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Stephens vs. Osorio Serrano Match Prediction
Based on the implied probability derived from the moneyline odds, Maria Camila Osorio Serrano has an approximate 78.9% chance of securing a victory.
Betting Lines: Stephens vs. Osorio Serrano
- Sloane Stephens’ win odds: +280
- Maria Camila Osorio Serrano’s win odds: -375
Head-to-Head Performance & Statistics
- Over the past year, Stephens holds a 3-3 record on hard courts.
- In the last 12 months on hard courts, Stephens has won 35.2% of her return games and 66.7% of her service games.
- Stephens has successfully converted 25 out of 55 break points (45.5%) on hard courts during the past year.
- Stephens’ most recent tournament saw her exit in the Round of 128 at the Australian Open on January 19, where she was defeated by Karolina Pliskova (ranked No. -) with a score of 6-7, 2-6.
- Osorio Serrano’s hard court record over the past year stands at 13-17 across 17 tournaments.
- On hard courts, Osorio Serrano boasts a 61.2% success rate in service games and a 37.3% success rate in return games.
- Osorio Serrano has converted 114 out of 244 break points (46.7%) on hard courts, placing her 49th overall.
- In her previous event, the Merida Open Akron on February 25, Osorio Serrano retired from her Round of 16 match against No. 69-ranked Katie Boulter with a score of 3-6.
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