TCU at Texas Tech odds, picks and predictions

On March 3, 2026, at 12:41 a.m. ET

The TCU Horned Frogs, with a 19-10 record (9-7 in the Big 12), are scheduled to face the No. 10 Texas Tech Red Raiders (22-7, 12-4) on Tuesday. The game kicks off at 7 p.m. ET on FS1, broadcasting live from United Supermarkets Arena in Lubbock, Texas. We’ll be diving into the NCAA basketball odds from BetMGM Sportsbook concerning the TCU vs. Texas Tech betting lines to provide our expert college basketball picks and predictions for the top wagers.

TCU is currently on a 3-game winning streak and has secured victories in 6 of its last 7 outings. Their most recent success came Saturday against the Kansas State Wildcats, where they won 77-68, comfortably covering the 3.5-point road favorite spread as the Under (158.5) connected. Forward Xavier Edmonds delivered a standout performance with a double-double, tallying a team-high 15 points and 13 rebounds, while guard Tanner Toolson contributed 14 points coming off the bench.

Texas Tech also boasts a run of 3 consecutive wins and 6 victories in its last 7 contests. On Saturday, they upset the No. 4 Iowa State Cyclones 82-73 as 9.5-point road underdogs, with the Over (144.5) cashing. Guard Donovan Atwell led the team in scoring with 18 points.

Last season, these two teams split their 2 matchups, with TCU claiming the most recent victory 69-66 on their home court. Historically, Texas Tech holds a significant advantage in the all-time series, leading 80-46.

– Rankings: USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll

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Betting Odds for TCU at Texas Tech

Odds are supplied by BetMGM Sportsbook; a comprehensive list can be found at the USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub. All lines were last updated at 12:35 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): TCU +375 (bet $100 to win $375) | Texas Tech -500 (bet $500 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): TCU +9.5 (-110) | Texas Tech -9.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 148.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Expert Picks and Predictions for TCU vs. Texas Tech

Our Prediction

Texas Tech 79, TCU 66

Moneyline: AVOID.

There’s simply no betting value on the Red Raiders at -500, especially given their impressive 14-1 home record this season.

Against the Spread: CONSIDER TEXAS TECH -9.5 (-110).

Even with the Horned Frogs’ recent strong play, the Red Raiders have been incredibly formidable lately, making them tough to bet against. This is particularly true after their dominant victory over No. 4 Iowa State and their ascension into the top 10 rankings. Texas Tech has covered the spread in 6 of their last 7 games, including twice as double-digit favorites during that stretch, and in each of their last 3 home games.

Over/Under: WAGER ON UNDER 148.5 (-115).

The Horned Frogs have registered 71 points or fewer in 3 of their last 4 games and 6 of their past 9, leading to the Under hitting in 3 of their last 4 overall and in consecutive road contests.

The Red Raiders have seen the Under connect in 5 of their last 8 games. They’ve scored 78 points or less in 5 of their past 8 outings, while holding opponents to 73 points or fewer in 7 of their last 8 overall.

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