Will Claude go down on __ days in May? Trading Odds & Predictions

Downtime for Claude is defined as any day when the claude.ai component’s status box on the Claude Status historical uptime page (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) shows a color other than green after finalization. Downtime for other Claude components will not affect this market.

A day’s status box is finalized when the subsequent day’s status box is no longer grey (indicating it hasn’t started).

Resolution will occur after the final day of May 2026 is finalized. Should the final day of May 2026 not be finalized by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve based on the finalized days in May up to that point.

The Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) will serve as the primary source for market resolution.

This market’s resolution depends on the total number of days in May when Claude (claude.ai) experiences downtime.

Downtime for Claude is defined as any day where the claude.ai component’s status box on the Claude Status historical uptime page (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) shows a color other than green after finalization. Downtime for other Claude components will not affect this market’s resolution.

A day’s status box is considered finalized once the subsequent day’s status box is displayed in any color other than the initial grey.

The market will resolve once the final day of May 2026 is finalized. If this isn’t complete by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, resolution will be based on the days in May finalized by that time.

The primary source for market resolution will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).